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market analysis
【XM Forex】--McDonald’s (MCD) Stock Signal: More Downside Ahead?
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Forex】--McDonald’s (MCD) Stock Signal: More Downside Ahead?". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Short Trade Idea
Enter your short position between $301.85 (yesterday’s intra-day low) and $306.11 (yesterday’s intra-day high and upper band of its bearish price channel).
Market Index Analysis
- McDonald’s (MCD) is a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 100, and the S&P 500.
- All three indices grind higher on the back of AI, with underlying bearish factors accumulating.
- The Bull Bear Power Indicator of the S&P 500 shows a negative pergence and does not support the uptrend.
Market Sentiment Analysis
Equity markets had a lackluster start to the trading week, extending a slow grind higher on the back of NVIDIA and AI. Futures suggest a slow start, as investors grapple with the potential of a brief government shutdown that would disrupt the release of Friday’s September NFP report. Following the much-anticipated 25-basis-point interest rate cut earlier this month, a slew of economic data cast a shadow of doubt over the two interest rate cuts that a slim majority of FOMC voting members predicted.
McDonald’s Fundamental Analysis
McDonald’s is a fast-food chain with the second-largest number of locations globally. It is also a significant real estate owner and investor, and the second-largest private employer with over 1.7 million employees.
So, why am I bearish on MCD after last week’s upward drift?
While the profit margins are excellent, they failed to stem the current sell-off and rise in bearish sentiment. Low-income diners face struggles, and more casual diners opt for healthier options. The reintroduction of its once-popular Monopoly game is now restricted to registered users of its mobile app for a limited time, suggesting MCD has no fresh ideas to attract foot traffic.
McDonald’s Fundamental Analysis Snapshot
The price-to-earning (P/E) ratio of 26.19 makes MCD an expensive stock. By www.xmmaker.comparison, the P/E ratio for the S&P 500 is 29.70.
The average analyst price target for MCD is $333.00. It points towards moderate upside potential, but downside risks continue to dominate.
McDonald’s Technical Analysis
Today’s MCD Signal
- The MCD D1 chart shows price action inside a bearish price channel.
- It also shows price action between its descending 50.0% and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Fan levels.
- The Bull Bear Power Indicator is bearish with a descending trendline.
- The average trading volumes during bearish trading sessions are higher than during bullish trading sessions.
- MCD corrected as the S&P 500 rallied to fresh highs, a significant bearish trading signal.
My Call on McDonald’s
I am taking a short position in MCD between $301.85 and $306.11. Valuations are high, and downside pressures on revenues are rising. MCD must invest heavily in marketing, where it currently lacks ideas, or rely on discounts to attract foot traffic. I see more downside ahead.
- MCD Entry Level: Between $301.85 and $306.11
- MCD Take Profit: Between $265.33 and $271.99
- MCD Stop Loss: Between $319.43 and $333.00
- Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.08
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